- By Aditya Jha
- Sat, 04 Apr 2026 04:06 PM (IST)
- Source:JND
Tamil Nadu Assembly Election: With just a few weeks remaining in the Tamil Nadu Assembly election, all the key political parties have intensified their campaigns. The pre-poll surveys have predicted that the MK Stalin-led DMK alliance is set to return to power comfortably. While the ruling alliance is likely to get above 170 out of the total 234 constituencies, the opposition AIADMK alliance is expected to win below 50 seats. Apart from this, the actor-turned-politician Vijay's TVK is set to register victory in around 10 constituencies.
As per a survey by agency Lok Poll, the DMK alliance is likely to secure 181-189 seats with a 40.1 per cent vote share. The survey further suggested that the opposition alliance is expected to win around 40 seats, with 29 per cent of the vote share. The survey agency also predicted that the TVK will have its impact on the polls as the Vijay-led party is expected to register victory in around ten seats with a 23.9 per cent vote share.
The most wanted #TamilNadu Survey is Out!
— Lok Poll (@LokPoll) April 1, 2026
Here’s the vote share & seat projection from our mega ground survey:
▪️DMK+ 181–189 | 40.1%
▪️ADMK+ 38–42 | 29%
▪️TVK 8–10 | 23.9%
▪️NTK 00 | 4.9%
▪️Others 00 | 2.1%
Sample size:… pic.twitter.com/5CuGQMwKpP
Apart from this, parties like NTK and other regional parties are also set to win around 7 per cent vote share combined. "The DMK alliance is clearly ahead, mainly because of its strong welfare schemes like Kalaignar Magalir Urimai Thogai, free bus travel, and the breakfast scheme. These have especially connected well with women in rural and semi-urban areas, giving DMK a solid advantage," the Lok Poll survey said.
The agency further stated that the AIADMK is not expected to return to power due to several factors, including party splits, weak cadre morale, and a less intensified campaign. "Edappadi K Palaniswami-led AIADMK is struggling internally. Party splits, loss of key leaders, and weak cadre morale are affecting its performance, especially in Delta and southern districts," it added.
While the elections in Tamil Nadu are scheduled to be held on April 23, the result will be declared on May 4.
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